More Than Super Bowl Odds Affected in Chiefs-Bills Game

• The Kansas City Chiefs hold the edge over the Buffalo Bills in the Super Bowl 59 odds as well as the AFC title chances and odds to finish as the top seed.
• The Week 11 matchup impacts how Super Bowl betting sites will adjust the odds moving forward, giving bettors a chance to get ahead of the bookies.

BUFFALO – The high-stakes Week 11 matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills is shaping up to be one of the most impactful games of the NFL season. Not only are the AFC standings affected but the future of Super Bowl betting as well.

Set to kick off at 4:25 PM EST on Sunday, this game will play a major role in determining the outlook for several major betting markets from conference championships to MVP odds.

Current Game Line

• Point Spread: Kansas City Chiefs -2 (-105), Buffalo Bills +2 (-115)
• Moneyline: Kansas City -125, Buffalo +105
• Total Points: Over/Under 46.0 (-110)

As it stands, the Chiefs enter as slight favorites at -2. For a game featuring two Super Bowl contenders, the stakes couldn’t be higher, and a shift here will almost certainly alter the broader Super Bowl picture.

Super Bowl Odds: Chiefs or Bills to Gain an Edge?

Odds To Win Super Bowl LIX

• Kansas City Chiefs +350
• Detroit Lions +400
• Baltimore Ravens +600
• Buffalo Bills +650

Kansas City currently has the shortest odds to win Super Bowl LIX at +350, while Buffalo sits at +650. A win by the Bills would not only help close that gap but Super Bowl betting sites may adjust Buffalo’s odds, possibly reducing them to +500 or lower.

Meanwhile, a KC win would solidify their favorite status, potentially dropping the Chiefs Super Bowl odds closer to +300.

AFC Champion Odds

• Kansas City Chiefs +165
• Baltimore Ravens +250
• Buffalo Bills +325

Currently leading the odds to win the AFC, Kansas City sits at +165 with Buffalo trailing at +325. With Baltimore tightly packed in the middle at +250, any edge that Kansas City or Buffalo can gain here may be critical in determining the eventual AFC champion.

A Buffalo win could push the Bills Super Bowl odds and AFC chances closer to Kansas City’s current mark.

MVP Race: Allen or Mahomes to Make a Statement?

2024 NFL MVP Odds

• Lamar Jackson (BAL) +125
• Josh Allen (BUF) +275
• Patrick Mahomes (KC) +750

Lamar Jackson leads the MVP race at +125, but Allen’s and Mahomes’ performances in this high-profile game could have an outsized impact on the MVP odds.

For Allen, a standout game could propel him past Jackson, especially if he leads a game-winning drive or delivers multiple touchdown passes. Mahomes, with longer odds at +750, would need an impressive win to bring his name back into the top three for MVP contention with Jared Goff currently playing spoiler

Odds for Best Regular Season Record

• Kansas City Chiefs -180
• Detroit Lions +290
• Buffalo Bills +1000

With the Chiefs at -180 to earn the league’s best record, a loss to Buffalo could alter this trajectory. With the NFL playoffs explained in simple terms, only the top seed in each conference gets the bye week. Buffalo at +1000 remains a longshot for this spot, but a win would bring them one step closer to the AFC’s top seed.

Still, odds favor the Chiefs first regular season loss being Week 11 vs the Bills (-135).

This Chiefs-Bills showdown is set to affect not only Week 11 odds but also the futures markets in major ways. A Bills victory will close the gap in the Super Bowl and AFC odds, while Chiefs dominance could extend their stronghold on both fronts.

Bettors should watch for potential line adjustments following Sunday’s result as sportsbooks reevaluate each team’s Super Bowl chances.