Betting Analysis: Finding Edges In Rushing Yards Totals

• Jonathan Taylor has +400 odds to finish with the most rushing yards in the NFL in the regular season.
• Taylor and Derrick Henry share a 1350.5 yards O/U, suggesting Henry’s +450 odds to lead the league in rush yards are decent value.
• Nick Chubb has +1400 odds to lead the league in rush yards, but a higher O/U than Dalvin Cook at +1000.

LAS VEGAS – Only a few running backs in the NFL have attained the title of bellcow, and all of them are in contention for the rushing yard title in 2022-23.

Nick Chubb seems particularly underrated based on analysis, while Derrick Henry might deserve to be a true co-favorite with Jonathan Taylor.

Bettors can examine the individual props for each of these talented players to see if there are any discrepancies worthy of note.

Jonathan Taylor Rush Yards 2022 Reg. Season

• Over 1350½ Rushing Yards -115
• Under 1350½ Rushing Yards -115

Derrick Henry Rush Yards 2022 Reg. Season

• Over 1350½ Rushing Yards -115
• Under 1350½ Rushing Yards -115

While Derrick Henry has +450 betting odds to have the most rushing yards in the regular season, both he and Jonathan Taylor have -115 odds to go over 1350.5 rushing yards.

This suggests that Henry could be mildly undervalued on the most rushing yards prop, or mildly overvalued on the rush totals.

Dalvin Cook Rush Yards 2022 Reg. Season

• Over 1100½ Rushing Yards -115
• Under 1100½ Rushing Yards -115

Dalvin Cook has +1000 odds to finish the season with the yards crown, but has a far lower rush yards O/U than the two leaders.

Joe Mixon Rush Yards 2022 Reg. Season

• Over 1100½ Rushing Yards -115
• Under 1100½ Rushing Yards -115

Najee Harris Rush Yards 2022 Reg. Season

• Over 1100½ Rushing Yards -115
• Under 1100½ Rushing Yards -115

Nick Chubb Rush Yards 2022 Reg. Season

• Over 1150½ Rushing Yards -115
• Under 1150½ Rushing Yards -115

There are three players tied with +1400 odds to lead the league in rushing: Joe Mixon, Najee Harris and Nick Chubb.

Of the three, Nick Chubb has the highest O/U, with his O/U actually being the third highest in the entire league, ahead of Dalvin Cook.

The three of them are all in Cook’s range, with Mixon and Harris tied with Cook on the O/Us and Chubb ahead.

This implies that Cook might be overrated on the most rushing yards prop, and also implies that Chubb might be seriously underrated at +1400.