Betting Value for Colts Covering the Spread Week 1

• The Colts have -380 odds to bear the Texans in week one of the NFL season and are eight-point favorites for the AFC South matchup.
• The Texans have not beaten the Colts since the 2019 season and outscored the Texans by a total of 59 points during the 2021 season.

INDIANAPOLIS, Ind. – The Colts start their 2022-23 season at Lucas Oil Stadium versus the Houston Texans and Matt Ryan is getting his first start outside of Atlanta as eight-point favorites for the season opener.

During the 2021 regular season, the Colts were the seventh-best team ATS, having a total record of 10-7. With the Texans being the favorite to score the least points in 2022 at +500 odds, there is value in betting on the Colts covering in their opening game.

There are very different expectations for both of these two teams and online sportsbooks have odds for all different game props for the matchup.

As heavy underdogs, there is some value in betting on the Texans with a fresh start for the 2022 season after Davis Mills’ productive preseason. The Texans pulling off a close victory from 1-6 points has +500 odds. If wanting to bet on the favorite, the Colts have valuable odds of their exact winning margin as well.

• Colts by 1-6 +300
• Colts by 7-12 +400
• Colts by 13-18 +450
• Colts by 19-24 +650

The Texans have not beaten the Colts since the 2019 season and did not even have any close games during the 2021 season. The Colts outscored the Texans during their 2021 outings by a total of 59 points. With the Colts high scoring games in 2021 against the Texans, there is value in betting on the Colts to win big.

The Colts winning by 19-24 would result in sportsbooks paying out $325 on a $50 wager and the Colts won by at least 28 points in 2021. This also shows potential for big payouts through betting on the over/under set for the matchup.

By trading for Matt Ryan and having the 2021 leading rusher in Jonathan Taylor on the squad, who has +400 odds for most rushing yards, the Colts should have a highly efficient offense in 2022. There is betting value for the over on the total, with the Colts having +2000 odds to score the most points in 2022 and scoring an average of 26.54 ppg in 2021.

Ben Fiore

Ben has been an avid sports fan his whole life and mostly follows football and basketball, both professional and collegiate. He is finishing his Editing, Writing, and Media Degree at Florida State University, with a minor in Business. Diving into the world of sports betting, he is ecstatic to work in an area that has combined his two passions of sports and writing.