- Patrick Mahomes is favored with +160 odds to have the most passing yards in the Conference Finals.
- Jimmy Garoppolo has the longest odds at +600.
- Mahomes threw for 378 yards in the divisional round against the Buffalo Bills, the number one pass rush defense in the league.
SAN FRANCISCO – The AFC and NFC Conference Finals games are seeing a lot of action available at NFL betting sites. One popular wager is the QB with the most passing yards on Sunday.
Most Passing Yards in Conference Finals
- Patrick Mahomes (KC) +160
- Joe Burrow (CIN) +190
- Matthew Stafford (LAR) +275
- Jimmy Garoppolo (SF) +600
AFC Matchup
Patrick Mahomes of the Kansas City Chiefs has the shortest odds and it is no surprise. He finished with the most passing yards of any QB during the divisional round and he did it against the Buffalo Bills, the number one passing defense in the NFL.
Mahomes’ odds at NFL sportsbooks are reflective of his playoff stats. The star QB is averaging 391 passing yards across two games this postseason. Mahomes finished with 378 yards against the Bills who only allow for 163 per game during the regular season and held the New England Patriots to 232 yards during Wild Card Weekend.
Mahomes also finished with 404 yards in his Wild Card matchup with the Pittsburgh Steelers, a top 10 passing defense.
The Chiefs will be facing the Cincinnati Bengals who ranked seventh worse in the league at protecting the passing game. Mahomes should easily have a high passing yard game against this offense at the rate he is going in these playoffs.
On the other side of the field, however, Joe Burrow who has the second shortest odds has a legitimate shot at finishing with the most yards as well.
For starters, the Chiefs rank even worse at protecting the pass and gave up 329 yards to Bills QB Josh Allen in the divisional round. Additionally, Joe Burrow finished with 446 passing yards in Week 17 against this very Chiefs defense.
Burrow is averaging 296 passing yards per game so far in the playoffs and that’s while coming off of averaging 288.16 yards per game in the season.
Burrow is more than capable of torching defenses and his +190 odds would net a big return.
NFC Matchup
Those betting on the Los Angeles Rams QB Matthew Stafford would see a large return on the wager if he surprises everyone and has the most passing yards against the San Francisco 49ers defense.
Stafford is averaging 284 passing yards in this postseason and is coming off of a 366-passing game against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers.
The 49ers’ defense managed to hold MVP favorite Aaron Rodgers to just 225 yards when they played the Green Bay Packers in the divisional round, however.
Stafford will have a tougher time in his matchup than the AFC QBs as the 49ers rank sixth in the league in defense against the pass.
The Rams do not rank that high, being 12th in the league in passing defense but Jimmy Garoppolo of the San Francisco 49ers is only averaging 151.5 yards per game in the playoffs.
Garoppolo is the only QB remaining in the postseason who has not thrown for at least 200 yards in a game and is also the only QB with 0 TDs.
Longshot betting fans may want to take the shot on Jimmy G to have a breakout game, but the odds reflect how unlikely that is.
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Growing up a major football and basketball fanatic, Giovanni Shorter has spent his early years obsessed with stats and numbers about his favorite sports teams. Coming from a narrative writing background, Shorter always tries to tie his love of sports information with his desire for storytelling to not only inform, but entertain readers. When he is not keeping fans up to date on the best Super Bowl odds, he is watching his favorite sports, playing videogames, or writing and recording music.