- The Los Angeles Chargers and Cincinnati Bengals total is set at 50.5 points with -110 odds on both sides.
- The total for the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlatna Falcons game is also set at 50.5 with a -110 betting line on either side.
- Every other game in Week 13 has a total below 50.0 points.
CINCINNATI – Despite 2021 being the sixth-highest scoring season of all time, there are only two games with totals above 50.0 points in Week 13.
The Games With Totals Higher Than 50.0
The first of the two games might not be the one most people would expect as neither team ranks inside the top five in points scored per game and one is outside of the top 10, but that’s the case with the Los Angeles Chargers and Cincinnati Bengals game this weekend. NFL betting sites are expecting a shootout.
Chargers vs Bengals Total Odds
- OVER 50.5 -110
- UNDER 50.5 -110
It seems as if the sportsbooks have been picky in which games to give high totals this week and that the driving factor behind this being one of the few games is the Bengals. Cincinnati has seen more than 50 points in four of the last five weeks and is averaging a total of 55.2 points over that span.
The Chargers are more split down the middle in terms of how often they’re a part of high-scoring games, but when Los Angeles scores, they score a lot. LA’s five highest-scoring games average 64.6 points per game while their six lowest-scoring games average just 40.5 points per game.
The only other game of the week with a total higher than 50.0 is the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Atlanta Falcons matchup. It makes sense that those betting on the NFL would find this game with a high total because when the two played earlier in the season the final score was 48-25.
Falcons vs Buccaneers Total Odds
- OVER 50.5 -110
- UNDER 50.5 -110
Tampa Bay is the single highest-scoring team in the NFL while the Falcons allowing the second-most points per game makes up for their bottom-five scoring offense. However, only two of the Buccaneers’ last six games have gone OVER 50.5 points while only one of Atlanta’s last five games has done so.
Why Are Totals Getting Lower As The Season Goes On?
So far this season, when the total is set at 50.0 or higher, the UNDER is 27-23. Plus, there are seven divisional games on the Week 13 slate, which have a strong history of hitting the UNDER late in the season.
Since 2005 the UNDER is 220-139 (61.2%) in divisional games past Week 10 of the season. Additionally, the trend has gotten stronger this season, going 3-1 in Week 11 and 4-1 in Week 12. The books may be trying to overcorrect and bring that number back down closer to 50%.
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Nick is a football fanatic with years of sports journalism experience. He achieved a degree in Broadcast/Journalism from Penn State University. When he’s not covering the latest NFL odds you can catch him debating Brady > Belichick in his free time.