TNF Rushing Props: Hurts, Sanders, Pierce

• Jalen Hurts rushing yard total is set at 41.5 yards.
• Miles Sanders has -115 odds to go over 80.5 rushing yards.
• Dameon Pierce has -112 odds to stay under 63.5 rushing yards.

HOUSTON – Week 9 of the NFL season kicks off with a lopsided Thursday Night Football matchup between the undefeated Philadelphia Eagles and 1-5-1 Houston Texans where Philly is going in as a massive 14-point favorite.

Given that NFL betting sites have such as wide spread set for the game, oddsmakers not only have high hopes in the Eagles winning, but the player props tell a similar story as well.

Focusing on the Eagles rushing props, both Jalen Hurts and Miles Sanders rushing yard totals are an indication of them taking full control of this game.

Jalen Hurts Rushing Prop

Rushing Yard Total – Jalen Hurts

• Over 41.5 -114
• Under 41.4 -114

Jalen Hurts has proven to be one of, if not the best rushing QB in the NFL today and many wouldn’t hesitate to take the over on his rushing yard total. However, in this situation where the Eagles are a 14-point favorite and expected to be in a positive game script for most of this game, the under might be the stronger play.

Something to take note of about Hurts’ rushing performance this season is that he tends to hit the over in closer games. In Week 1 against the Detroit Lions and Week 5 against the Arizona Cardinals, Hurts hit over 41.5 yards in both games and both were decided by 3 points. In games that were decided by a touchdown or more including Week 3 against Washington, Week 4 against Jacksonville, Week 6 against Dallas, and Week 8 against the Steelers, Hurts stayed under 41.5 rushing yards.

One of the most important factors that comes into play here though is that his 41.5 rushing yard total is his lowest set rushing total of the season. With that, it looks like oddsmakers are expecting a blowout.

Miles Sanders Rushing Prop

Rushing Yard Total – Miles Sanders

• Over 80.5 -115
• Under 80.5 -113

Feeding off of Jalen Hurts staying under his rushing yard total, the positive game script lines up nicely for Miles Sanders to hit the over on his. Major things coming into play for Sanders being able to hit the over in this one is that the Texans have the worst run defense in the league right now letting opposing teams rush for 186 yards per game. That is a whopping 30 more yards per game than the second-worst rush defense.

Also, in the Texans last two games, they’ve let up 143 yards to Josh Jacobs and 219 yards to Derrick Henry. It is also worth noting that opposite to how Bovada listed this game as the lowest rushing yard total for Jalen Hurts, the 80.5 total is the highest of the season for Miles Sanders. Sanders has also gone over his projected rushing yard total in three of his last four games.

Dameon Pierce Rushing Prop

Rushing Yard Total – Dameon Pierce

• Over 63.5 -117
• Under 63.5 -112

This matchup against the Eagles from seven could be the toughest matchup of the season for Dameon Pierce and the Houston rushing attack overall. The Eagles rushing defense in top-15 in the league for rushing yards allowed per game (114.7) and has held many teams this season under 63.5 yards. To be exact, they’ve held five of seven leading rushers this season to under 63.5 rushing yards.

Pierce is also coming off of his second-worst performance of the season having totaled just 35 rushing yards. Also, being that the Eagles are expected to be leading for the majority of this game, it calls for Houston to throw the ball more to even have a chance of competing in this one which takes away from Pierce even more.

This also marks his lowest set Texans player prop total for rushing yards in his last five games which should indicate the under hitting even more.