- Deebo Samuel racked up 110 all purpose yards and a touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys.
- He has -140 odds to receive more than 6.5 carries against the Green Bay Packers.
- Samuel has +150 odds to score his tenth rushing touchdown of the season against the Packers.
SAN FRANCISCO - Deebo Samuel made his presence felt in the San Francisco 49ers’ victory over the Dallas Cowboys in the Wild Card round of the NFL Playoffs.
Samuel broke the record for rush yards by a WR in a playoff game, putting up 72 yards on the ground and 38 yards in the air, for a total of 110 scrimmage yards. It seems as though Samuel is becoming more of a ground-based threat recently, as his snap count demonstrates.
Deebo Samuel aligned in the backfield on 13 snaps (29%), one shy of his career-high set in Week 18.
🔸 Samuel @ RB: 9 carries, 63 yards, TD
Samuel has aligned in the backfield on at least 10% of his snaps in nine consecutive games.#SFvsDAL | #FTTB pic.twitter.com/gotqD0jWTr
— Next Gen Stats (@NextGenStats) January 17, 2022
Given this, his prop betting for the game against the Green Bay Packers should be examined in the context of him seeing more snaps in the backfield over the last two weeks than he ever had in his career.
Total Carries by Deebo Samuel Odds
- Over 6½ Carries -140
- Under 6½ Carries +100
Deebo has carried the ball more than 6.5 times in each of his last four games, and saw a season-high in carries against the Cowboys with 10.
Samuel has been a threat both on the ground and in the air, but the 49ers seem to need the ground boost more than the aerial one - remember that this is a run-first team with Brandon Aiyuk and George Kittle as capable pass catchers.
D. Samuel to Have More Rushing or Receiving Yards Odds
- Receiving Yards -300
- Rushing Yards +200
However, those expecting Deebo to have more rushing yards than receiving yards once again might be in for a surprise.
Even though Samuel has seen more carries than catches in his last three games, only one of them saw him rush for more than his receiving total - the game the San Francisco 49ers just won against the Cowboys.
If an NFL betting fan assumes that his backfield usage will remain fairly consistent at around 30% snap share, this could be closer to a coinflip than the odds suggest, however.
Will Deebo Samuel Have a Rushing TD
- No -200
- Yes +150
The plain fact about Deebo Samuel is that his nose for the end-zone has been on full display as a rusher this season. He racked up more rushing touchdowns than Najee Harris over the course of the season, and broke the WR record for rushing touchdowns with eight.
A Deebo rushing touchdown against the Dallas Cowboys ended up being the deciding score, and he could score another one against the Green Bay Packers, especially with his increased backfield role.
Since Week 10, when Deebo's RB usage started in earnest, he has played in nine games, and scored eight rushing touchdowns in those nine games. He’s only failed to score a rushing touchdown against the Tennessee Titans and Houston Texans in that time.
Deebo Samuel’s remarkable talents will be on display against the Green Bay Packers at 8:15 p.m. EST on Saturday, broadcast on CBS and FOX.
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